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Oil price surge set to drive the cost of petrol to over R20 per litre

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Fuel prices in South Africa will certainly remain at elevated levels above R20 per litre for petrol in March, as the global price of oil hit record highs again yesterday with geopolitical tension escalating between Russia and Ukraine.

File picture: Newspress

FUEL prices in South Africa will certainly remain at elevated levels above R20 per litre for petrol in March, as the global price of oil hit record highs again yesterday with geopolitical tension escalating between Russia and Ukraine.

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday night announced on live television the recognition of breakaway territories in south-eastern Ukraine as independent states.

This perceived Russian aggression drove Brent crude oil prices up by more than 5 percent above $99 (R1,497.21) per barrel, and closer to the feared $100 per barrel earlier yesterday.

This was the highest level that oil prices have risen to since September, 2014, on worries about possible supply disruptions amid escalating tensions in Europe.

The latest data from the Central Energy Fund (CEF) points to big fuel price hikes next month − well above R1 a litre for all grades − that will push petrol prices to a record high of more than R21 a litre.

Anchor Capital’s investment analyst Seleho Tsatsi admitted there seemed to be upwards pressure on oil prices in the short term. Tsatsi said the Russia/ Ukraine conflict was likely to lead to sanctions on Russian energy and Russia is a large exporter of energy, including oil.

“Higher oil prices mean higher energy prices and a higher cost of living for all of us as consumers,” Tsatsi said. “The South African consumer is already feeling it every time they go to the petrol station. Lower disposable income is the outcome in the short term for the SA consumer.”

Putin recognised the two self-proclaimed separatist republics in Ukraine, and ordered troops to go into the regions of Donetsk and Luhansk on a “peacekeeping mission”.

As a result, Western leaders have threatened a strong response against Russia. The US and the EU are set to announce more stringent sanctions and export controls against Russia, as well as cancelling trade with the two regions of Ukraine. Russia’s decision to forego a diplomatic solution to the Ukraine conflict triggered risk aversion in global markets.

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